How accurate is the Multilistado estimate?

We measure it every week and publish the result, good or bad. Last measured: October 27, 2026.

By municipality

How we measure it

We hide one fifth of the homes for sale, estimate them with the rest and compare with their published price; we repeat it five times so every home is tested once. The same home published on several portals is never used to estimate itself.

The estimate combines two methods: comparables (nearest similar homes, median per m²) and a model that learns from every listing what each feature is worth (size, bedrooms, distance to the ocean, neighborhood…). Together they err less than either alone (comparables alone: 19.3%).

What it doesn’t know

• It is based on asking prices, not sale prices: Mexico has almost no public closing data. Sale prices are usually somewhat lower.
• It does not see condition, finishes, the exact view or remodeling. That is why a verified agent always adjusts it.
• In areas with few listings it is less accurate; there we mark it as low confidence or give no number.

The range we show covers half of the homes in the test (between ×0.88 and ×1.22 of the raw central estimate).